2021 Ballon d’Or Odds: Lionel Messi, Robert Lewandowski Both In Contention

Published: 10th March 2023
Author: Dean Carr
Last Updated: 10th March 2023

Just two weeks ahead of the 2021 Ballon d’Or ceremony, it looks to be an overwhelming two-man race for the award.

Paris Saint-Germain’s Lionel Messi and Bayern Munich’s Robert Lewandowski are the unanimous favourites amongst the top sports betting sites, with the order varying depending on who you are betting with.

For example, William Hill and Betway both have Messi as the current favourite, while Lewandowski is favourite with Sky Bet and Unibet. Below is the full list of odds, supplied by William Hill:

Full 2021 Ballon d’Or Odds

  • Lionel Messi – 8/11
  • Robert Lewandowski – 1/1
  • Mohamed Salah – 28/1
  • Karim Benzema – 28/1
  • Jorginho – 33/1
  • Kevin De Bruyne – 50/1
  • Cristiano Ronaldo – 50/1
  • Kylian Mbappe – 50/1
  • Gianluigi Donarumma – 66/1
  • Bruno Fernandes – 66/1
  • Erling Haaland – 66/1
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Who Will Win The Ballon d’Or?

34-year-old Messi is chasing his seventh Ballon d’Or, a result which would put him two clear of Cristiano Ronaldo in the all-time winners list. Outside of those two, no player has won the award more than three times in their career, while they have each been in the top two every year since 2008 outside of 2010 and 2018.

It has been a historic 2021 for Messi, who led Argentina to the Copa America title in what was his first victory at a major international tournament. He scored four goals for his team, as well as providing five assists throughout the competition as they went on to beat Brazil 1-0 in the Final. 

Although he has had a pretty slow start to this season with Paris Saint-Germain, he has 54 G/A in 52 games for club and country over the course of the year, with an average of 83 minutes per goal contribution. He also won the Copa Del Rey with Barcelona prior to his departure from the Camp Nou in the summer.

Robert Lewandowski enjoyed another trophy-laden season with Bayern Munich in 2021, while also claiming the European Golden Shoe after scoring 48 goals in all competitions. Those goals helped Bayern to the Bundesliga title and DFL-Supercup and the Polish international would’ve almost absolutely already won a Ballon d’Or if the award hadn’t been cancelled in 2020.

The 33-year-old is playing better than he ever has throughout his career and has scored 116 goals in his last 104 appearances for Bayern in all competitions. It will be intriguing to see where the voters go at the end of the month with it looking most likely that it will go to either Lewandowski or Messi.

Other outside contenders include Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah and Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema, both of whom have been in outstanding form recently for their respective club sides. Both players are currently priced at 28/1.

When it comes to trophies, Jorginho has had as successful a calendar year as anybody in world football after playing a crucial role in Chelsea winning the Champions League and Italy’s victory at the European Championship. The midfielder is available at 33/1 to win the Ballon d’Or, although the hype surrounding him has died down since the summer.

Heavy outsiders at 50/1 include Ronaldo, Kevin De Bruyne and Kylian Mbappe, who are unlikely to be in the frame for the award. Check out the best betting sites today before placing your Ballon d’Or bets.


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dean carr

About Dean Carr

Dean is a sports betting writer specialising in match previews and betting strategy for football and UK horse racing. Dean has a wide range of expertise, including betting previews, recommendations, tactics, and betting psychology.